Beginners

Betting Strategies Beginners

There are plenty of betting strategies for everyone, especially for those who just started. Because the approaches we will discuss can really help you understand everything revolving around a match. There are so many ways to expand your bank roll, the final outcome of the game couldn’t even bother you in some cases. Those betting ways will see an explanation later on, but we’ll first start with the “accumulator bet”.

Accumulator Bet

The name gives it away. An accumulator or multi-bet is an pretty straight forward strategy. An “acc” is created when you put various bet in one slip. Meaning you could correctly predict 2/3/4/5/6 events and those odds will combine each other. An high risk, high yield strategy. Because it happens rarely that you get an “combo” correct which involves more than three bets.

Everyone loves to utilize their football knowledge and make some money of it, that’s why you need to be weary. The line between making money from carefully picked bets and gambling is a thin one. And this strategy crosses that line pretty frequently and quick if you aren’t being cautious. I would advise to keep your odds on a realistic level (the combination of odds shouldn’t surpass ~7.00). The best way of using this system in my opinion is the “double” or treble. And especially the combination of one “easy” bet with an tougher one.

To use a specific example: Arsenal gets and odd of 1.26 home versus Brighton, which isn’t worth it on his own. But it is when combining it with an Everton away win at WBA which gives 2.17. The combination of these odds (1.26*2.17) is 2.73. A great odd for this easy “double” but. You can even expand this accumulator to a treble by adding another bet. In a three-way bet, I would advise to always have two “easy” bets in which combination with a tough one. Adding a Manchester City home win versus Southampton (1.31) makes your original double bet expand from 2.73 to 3.58.

To summarize this strategy, I would say it’s more fun than serious. There are few professional betters who can maintain a profit with this strategy. It is the most exciting way of playing though. In the weekends, I always play at least one double or treble bet. But with many I’m comfortable losing. Meaning that if I were to put €50 on every “normal” bet, such a “fun combo” would have around 6-7% of that. In this instance, €3.50. That’s my best advice: don’t expect to maintain profitable in the long run with these types of bets. And keep yourself to the 6-7% rule. In that way, it won’t hurt your bank roll significantly, and profit margins are still pretty great.

I’ve mentioned it before: bank roll management. An certain way of maintaining your money in a responsible way. Many sites tend to explain this rather difficult, but I like to simplify it. Bank roll management prevents you from losing large sums of money by using a percentage system. The thumb of rule is to place bets with maximum of 5% per bet. Slow and steady could be boring, but ‘BRM’ is used worldwide by the majority of winning professional gamblers.

Thankfully, that includes me. In combination with my stake system, I slowly outgrew my own expectations from this system. I manage my bank roll in combination with an stake system. Meaning I value a certain bet and then decide in which category it falls. Before showing the example: 10/10 is a “sure” bet with 1/10 being a shot in the dark. I value bets on their odds. Again, this is my own staking system, so you could tweak it to your own liking.

1/10: +11.00 odds.
2/10: Odds between 10.99 and 9.50
3/10: Odds between 9.49 and 8.00
4/10: Odds between 7.99 and 6.50
5/10: Odds between 6.49 and 5.00
6/10: Odds between 4.99 and 3.50
*From the next stake, the gaps are significantly smaller
7/10: Odds between 3.50 and 3.00
8/10: Odds between 2.99 and 2.50
9/10: Odds between 2.49 and 2.00
10/10: Odds lower than 2.00

Regardless on which sport or event you put money on, make sure it won’t hurt your wallet and gamble responsible.

Like said before, you have an dozen of options when it comes to betting strategies: I will explain the most popular one down below. Starting with the most logical one: head-to-head-bet.

Head-to-head-betting is quite simple and doesn’t require many words to explain. It’s the most simple one around: Team A faces Team B and you think that the latter will win. Nothing more, nothing less. This is the basic way of betting and you can expand from here to numerous strategies, whichever suits you best.

Back and lay-betting: This one heavily correlates with the one above. There are two options with the strategy. “Backing” a certain bets means you will bet FOR an event to happen and “laying” meanings you will bet AGAINST a bet to happen. Example:

Tottenham Hotspur – Newcastle United. Your guess is that Tottenham will win and you place a bet on that. This is “backing”. But what if you think the opposite? That Tottenham will NOT win this? You can bet on that too, this is “laying”. Latter means your precise bet will be “Newcastle to win or draw”.

This strategy gives you the freedom to experiment with your thoughts. You have to include many factors in your thinking process. Let’s say that the Spurs are having trouble scoring and are missing key players in attack. But you don’t trust Newcastle enough to actually win this match? Then you can decide to lay against Tottenham.

Slightly different from this strategy is double chance betting. Simply put: there are three outcomes to a football match: home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2). With double chance betting, you can pick two of the three outcomes. The risk of losing is, of course, lower than with a single bet. And the odds show that. The best situation to use this on games where both sides will be eliminated from a tournament if they don’t win. Meaning your bet would be “1/2”. Another great opportunity is when either the home team or away only needs a draw. Meaning your bet would be either “X1” or “X2”. Those two options are exactly the same as our previous example in the back and lay-betting section. X1=draw or home win and X2 = draw or away win.

The next approach is somewhat more risky, which is called halftime/fulltime betting. With this strategy, you are betting on the results after the first AND second half. Your pick will only be successful if you predicted both halves correctly.
There are 9 options to pick from, which are:

1/1 (home team leads at halftime and wins the game)
1/X (home team leads at halftime, game ends in a draw)
1/2 (home team leads at halftime, away team wins the game)
X/1 (draw at half time, home team wins the game)
X/X (draw at half time, game ends in a draw)
X/2 (draw at half-time, away team wins the game)
2/1 (away team leads at halftime, home team wins the game)
2/X (away team leads at halftime, game ends in a draw)
2/2 (away team leads at halftime and wins the game)

Dozens of situations can lead up to your decision to pick a HT/FT-bet. Example: the home team plays on possession, trying to break down their opponent. Latter can keep up in the first half, but constantly running after the ball is tiring and fatigue is around the corner. Your bet should be X/1 then. A draw at HT, home win at FT.

Or the away team is very good in the first half, but always plays much worse in the second half. Your bet should be 2/X or even 2/1 then.

The next strategies are very popular among bettors, especially at the Asian bookies: handicap.

An approach which I’ve been using personally for many years. In most situations, it’s to “close a gap” between two teams. Before I bombard you with numbers, it’s rather simple and I will use an example for it.

Manchester United will play Scunthorpe United at home in the FA Cup. Latter are playing in the lower divisions while United is arguably one of the best teams in England. The odd for an United win is terribly low, of course. Let’s say 1.06. But you think that Manchester won’t stop at a one-nil lead and will keep pushing to make a second, third or even fourth. That’s where handicap comes in. One of the most common used handicaps is -1. Meaning that your team will start with an 1 goal deficit. In our example, that would virtually mean that Manchester United – Scunthorpe starts with an 0-1 and the home teams needs to win this game with at least two goals before your bet is won. The official result could be 1-0 for United, but that means that your bet ended in 1-1. To illustrate this, a list of results:

Official result – (result with -1 handicap)
0-0 (0-1)
1-0 (1-1)
2-0 (2-1)
2-1 (2-2)
3-1 (3-2)
0-1 (0-2)
0-2 (0-3)
1-1 (1-2)
2-2 (2-3)

-1 handicap could also be used in the opposite direction. So that would be +1 Scunthorpe in our example.

If you have this under control, you can move on to the next section. Which is Asian Handicapping. Basically a more advanced handicap system, because the Asians are using not only round numbers, but also halves and even quarters.

Their detailed handicapping system is so widely used because the customers can spread their risk over all three outcomes of the game. Let’s take -0.25 as an example, where the half of the stake is in a draw. The bet is thus only half lost. The -0.50 handicap is a normal handicap bet. The next one is the -0.75 handicap, where your bet is considered to be half won if your team wins with a one-goal lead. Meaning you get half the profit of your bet.

Example: Arsenal plays Everton at home. Your bet is 0-75 Arsenal at an 1.90 odd, which you place €10 on. The game ends in a one-goal lead. The half of your bet (€5) will be returned. The other half (€5) will be multiplied by the odd (1.90) you played, which comes to €9.50 plus your half stake returned: €14.50. Meaning you made a total profit of €4.50 with your bet.

To make it somewhat easier, below is a picture which explain Asian Handicap more:

Asian Handicap

A more simple, but equally fun way to place bet is on over/under, in the years before, this approach was solely focussed on goals, but you can now bet on almost every event which is countable (amount of goals, cards, fouls, corners, throw-ins and so on).I tend to stick with ‘goals’ and ‘corners’ because those statistics are the most consistent throughout a season. ‘Over 2.50 goals’ means your bet is won when the minimal amount of goals is 3. Beneath that, you lose. Just like handicapping, the Asians have more options. This strategy can be highly profitable if you know the specifics of certain teams. Per example: Juventus is a fantastic side who’ve been dominating the Serie A for years, but aren’t that spectacular in the sense of scoring goals. Teams such as Real Madrid and Barcelona are both great teams like Juventus, but tend to push more and play very attacking. I would be more comfortable in placing my money on them instead of Juventus when it comes to ‘over-goals’.

I discussed the most common ones, which also can be profitable if managed right. There are still dozens of options, such as: predicting the first scorer, the first throw-in, who gets a red card, who will have the first shot on target. Many of those are more gambling than using your knowledge for the greater good.

Regardless of the amount of money you are dealing with, stay responsible and only play with money you can afford to lose.

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